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Traders know that oil costs, terrorism, and corporate debt restructuring, things that seriously can't be controlled, have a substantial influence on the stock market. Many investors stay away from airline stocks for that reason. They can't regulate one of their biggest expenses (gas) and an act of terrorism can seriously harm the industry.
Why are travel stocks any better? Rising fuel costs along with Hurricane Katrina led to lower stock rates for companies like Carnival Corporation as well as Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. These two cruise companies account for about 75 percent of the cruise market, worldwide.
When George Allen Smith IV, out of Connecticut, vanished when on a Royal Caribbean cruise, the industry received loads of negative press.
Certainly, there are actually many negatives for cruise stocks and shares, but some traders are bullish. Initially, there is no direct signal that the vanishing honeymooner out of Connecticut has hurt ticket costs. Valuations on these stocks and shares also look great.
Carnival Corporation trades at sixteen times estimated '06 earnings. Its historic range is ten to 30 times earnings. Royal Caribbean trades at fourteen times estimated '06 earnings. Its historic range is 5 to twenty-four times earnings. Growth potential is strong as only 4 % of Americans have ever taken a cruise.
When thinking about cruise stocks, don't forget the risks. A sharp boost in fuel costs or an additional terrorist attack would most likely have a negative influence on cruise stocks.
If you are unsure of this investment, do you know how to short a stock? This could be a far greater path for you, especially if you are experiencing corporate debt restructuring.
I believe the risk outweighs the probable reward as I don't anticipate cruise lines to substantially outperform the broader market.
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